Fertilizer Forecast: What Farmers Need to Know for Spring

February 27, 2025

Tara Desmond

The rising cost of fertilizer isn’t just a domestic issue—it’s a global one. Josh Linville, Vice President of Fertilizer at StoneX, explains:

Europe’s Energy Crisis – High natural gas prices have reduced fertilizer production to 75% of normal.

China’s Export Restrictions – Normally a major urea exporter, China has cut exports drastically.

Middle East & Africa Disruptions – Iran is offline, and Egypt’s gas shortages are raising concerns.

U.S. Demand is Rising – With corn acres increasing, the need for nitrogen-based fertilizers is surging.

These factors combine to create a tight supply and rising demand, leading to higher prices just as farmers prepare for spring.

What Can Farmers Do?

With prices increasing and availability uncertain, farmers need to act now. Linville offers this key advice:

Talk to Your Retailer – Whoever supplies your fertilizer, start that conversation ASAP.

Plan for Delays – Imported urea takes at least 60 days to reach farmers once shipped.

Lock in Your Needs Early – The first 30-45 days of the year are critical for securing phosphate, potash, and anhydrous.

The Potash Outlook: Prices on the Rise

Farmers who saw low potash prices in 2022 may not be so lucky this season.

Prices were at historic lows but are now increasing.

Manufacturers are responding to strong demand after a busy fall application season.

Tariff fears are adding uncertainty to the market.

Prices have already jumped $25 per ton and may continue climbing.

While potash values may stabilize in late spring or summer, that won’t help for this planting season—another reason to act now.

Final Thoughts: Be Proactive, Not Reactive

The bottom line? Farmers can’t afford to wait. Secure fertilizer supplies now, stay in touch with retailers, and plan ahead to avoid being caught off guard by price swings and delays.

Rodney, Kenneth and Jim
By Lindsay Mitchell October 31, 2025
Celebrating Illinois Ag Leaders
Girl painting a leaf with brush at a table with paints, leaves, and other art supplies.
By Emily Graham October 30, 2025
Farm kids grow up surrounded by creativity—whether it’s building forts from hay bales, sketching tractors, or turning feed sacks into costumes.
By Tara Desmond October 30, 2025
When northern Illinois farmer Dan Sanderson started farming in the 1980s, cover crops weren’t exactly mainstream. Government set-aside programs required planting something like oats, but what stuck with Dan wasn’t the paperwork. It was the difference he noticed in those acres the next year—healthier plants and stronger soils. Decades later, that observation led him down a lifelong road of conservation and soil health improvement. In this episode of IL Corn TV, Dan joins IL Corn board member Shane Gray to talk about his path toward regenerative farming, what he learned at a 2017 Soil Health Academy that changed everything, and why he now treats soil as a living system, not something to manipulate. Dan’s story is one every farmer can relate to—trial and error, lessons learned the hard way, and realizing that “good soil” is about more than yield. 🎥 Watch Part 1 now and catch Part 2 soon, where Dan dives deeper into how he’s reducing inputs, improving soil function, and still keeping his yields strong.
college student
By Tara Desmond October 30, 2025
IL Corn's Scholarship Period Now Open
House Ag Chair Sonya Harper, Director of Ag Jerry Costello, Collin Watters, Justin Moore, Shane Gray
By Lyndi Allen October 30, 2025
House Hearing and New Executive Order Spotlight Economic Pressures on Farmers and Call for Stronger Market Opportunities
A crane loads grain onto a ship at a port at sunset.
By Lyndi Allen October 30, 2025
Corn exports continue to increase at record high volumes, but the value is at a stark low. Burdensome global supplies of corn have weighed on markets.
Show More